Sports wagering is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. We analyzed typically the Rest of the world Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Virginia had often the edge in the video game. Yet , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there are a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This online game provides all the signs of being one involving the very best games associated with the year, using the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming again from appearing down massive in the fourth 1 fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appear like this year?

When this game were being played on a new basic field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROAD games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, often the extra reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like very much, but in a close match-up such as this, that excess point might make the big difference between a push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home games.

In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points each game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. six points for each game on home. In case you decided not to do the mathmatical, that means considering their own last home damage they also have averaged beating their particular competitors by about 34 details per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, simply by 13 points per online game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats ended up accumulated during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already possessed recent games where they’ve only scored 35, 23, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

Basically of which this is still a new close video game to contact. But the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to this low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off that game and not necessarily bet at all. There will be better games this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return a punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s borders was not so big they could very well still win right after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of game, people severe regarding sports betting saved money they can offer better use on coming games.

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